Telecom - Equipment & Accessories









asof: 2025-11-27
Analysis of Birla Cable Limited (BIRLACABLE)
Birla Cable Limited is a listed Indian company (BSE: 500060, NSE: BIRLACABLE) primarily engaged in manufacturing cables (single reportable segment under Ind AS 108). The provided documents cover: (1) a favorable GST appeal outcome (Sep 2025), dropping a ₹11.90 Cr liability (demand + penalty), and (2) unaudited H1 FY26 financials (ended Sep 30, 2025), showing stable revenue but working capital pressures. All figures in ₹ lakhs unless noted. FY26 H1 revenue flat YoY at ~₹352 Cr; net profit stable at ~₹204 Cr standalone (consolidated ~₹207 Cr).
Tailwinds (Positive Factors)
Headwinds (Challenges)
Growth Prospects
Key Risks
| Risk Category | Details | Potential Impact |
|---|---|---|
| Working Capital | High inventories/receivables (40%+ of assets); negative CFO signals liquidity crunch. | Margin erosion; funding costs up if borrowing rises. |
| Commodity/Price | Raw materials (e.g., copper) ~80% costs; forex unrealized gains volatile. | Input inflation could squeeze 1-2% margins. |
| Regulatory/Litigation | Ongoing GST/Excise probes (prior ₹200 Cr demand dropped, but recurrence risk). | Cash outflows if adverse rulings. |
| Cyclical Demand | Cables tied to infra/telecom; slowdowns (e.g., monsoon delays) evident in Q2 revenue dip. | Revenue volatility; order book opacity. |
| OCI/Actuarial | Employee benefits remeasurements swing total income (H1 ₹1,673 Lacs gain). | EPS distortion; investor confusion. |
| Execution | Capex subdued; subsidiary unaudited/management-certified (immaterial but adds opacity). | Growth miss if infra delays. |
Overall Summary: BIRLACABLE shows resilience with stable revenue, debt deleveraging, and a key GST win as major tailwinds, but faces near-term headwinds from inventory pile-up and thin margins (net profit <1% of revenue). Growth prospects moderate (5-10% topline CAGR feasible via infra boom), but execution risks loom. Neutral outlook – suitable for long-term infra play; monitor Q3 working capital. Valuation context (not provided): Trade at reasonable multiples if debt trends continue. Investors: Focus on receivables cycle and raw material hedges.
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