Angel One Limited

Stockbroking & Allied

Annual Returns

Cumulative Returns and Drawdowns



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AI Summary

asof: 2025-12-03

Angel One Limited (ANGELONE) Analysis: Headwinds, Tailwinds, Growth Prospects, and Key Risks

Angel One, a leading Indian fintech broker, continues to demonstrate resilience through client acquisition, product diversification, and tech-led engagement. Q2 FY26 (ended Sep 2025) showed QoQ recovery in revenues (+5.6% to ₹9,410 Mn) and PAT (+85% to ₹2,117 Mn), driven by funding book growth and emerging businesses. However, YoY pressures from market softness persist. Below is a structured summary based on the provided disclosures, financials, investor presentation, and updates.

Tailwinds (Positive Drivers)

  • Robust Client Momentum: Client base hit 34.1 Mn (+4.9% QoQ, +24% YoY); gross additions 1.7 Mn QoQ. Nov’25 update: 35.08 Mn clients (+21.9% YoY). Strong Tier 2/3 penetration (90% of additions).
  • Market Share Gains: Retail equity turnover share at 20.5% (+71 bps QoQ); F&O at 21.7%. Commodity share 52.5-65.1%. NSE active clients 6.9 Mn (15.2% share).
  • Funding & Transaction Growth: Avg. client funding book ₹53 Bn (all-time high, +2.7% MoM in Nov); orders 360 Mn (+5% QoQ). ADTO resilient at ₹1.4 Tn (premium basis, +31.8% QoQ).
  • Diversified Revenue Streams: Emerging businesses shining – Unique SIPs 2.4 Mn (+23.8% QoQ); credit disbursals ₹4.6 Bn (+97% QoQ, cumulative ₹13.9 Bn); Wealth AUM ₹61.4 Bn (+21.3% QoQ, 1,250+ clients); AMC AUM ₹4 Bn (+16.8% QoQ, 138k folios, 7 schemes).
  • Tech & AI Edge: AI chatbot “Ask Angel” live; omnichannel platform; ISO 27001 certified. Supports LTV via personalization and ecosystem lock-in.
  • Financial Resilience: Normalised EBDAT margin stable at 34.5%; healthy cohorts with consistent net income (payback 7-10 months). Cash reserves strong (₹109 Bn bank balances).

Headwinds (Challenges)

  • Market Volatility Impact: QoQ/YoY declines in ADTO (-9.8% MoM Nov), orders (-12.3% MoM), and gross revenues (-21% YoY). Cash ADTO down -7.5% QoQ.
  • YoY Revenue Pressure: Total gross revenues -14% YoY (ex-ancillary); PAT -50% YoY due to softer volumes and higher opex (branding/IPL spends ₹1,117 Mn in H1 FY26).
  • Margin Compression: Reported EBDAT margin dipped to 34.5% (from 49.9% YoY); cost-to-income rose to 68.8% amid employee costs and IPL.
  • Client Acquisition Slowdown: Gross additions -11.1% MoM (Nov); competition in discount broking.
  • Regulatory Scrutiny: SEBI fine ₹3 Lakh (Nov 2025) for AP terminal non-compliances (unauthorised users, supervision lapses). Minor financial impact but highlights compliance risks.

Growth Prospects (Medium-Term Opportunities)

  • Annuity & Diversification: Shift to fee-based (MF SIPs, wealth, AMC) and annuity (insurance JV with 26% stake in Angel One LivWell Life Insurance; GIFT City branch). Target: Broader ecosystem (credit, FDs, insurance) for LTV uplift.
  • India’s Fintech Boom: Demat accounts exploding (younger, regional cohorts); passive AUM growth; underpenetrated insurance (~5% life premiums). Angel’s 16.5% share in incremental demats positions it well.
  • Scale Projections (from Presentation): Client base to 1.9 Mn by FY28; ADTO ₹0.6 Tn; funding book ₹38.9 Bn. Multi-product platform (AI-led) to drive retention.
  • Strategic Moves: Life insurance JV (₹1.04 Bn investment); AMC expansion; Ionic Wealth tech (AI agent, AA integration).
  • Healthy Fundamentals: Recurring revenues; low NPA in funding; maturing cohorts (stable income post-24 months).

Key Risks

Risk Category Description Mitigation
Regulatory/Compliance SEBI thematic inspections (e.g., AP terminals); potential for higher fines/slaps. PIT/UPSI risks in analyst meets. Strong governance; disclosures compliant.
Market/Cyclical Broking (55%+ revenue) tied to volatility; F&O curbs possible. Diversification (annuities ~20-30% potential); funding book secured by demats.
Credit/Operational Funding book expansion (₹59.5 Bn); NPAs (negligible now but scaling risk). AI/ML models; low exposure per client (₹0.1-0.5 Mn for 84%).
Competition Zerodha, Groww in discount space; HNI shift to full-service. AI personalization; Super App ecosystem.
Execution New ventures (insurance JV, GIFT City) need approvals; dilution from ESOPs (25 Mn+ units). Experienced team; JV with LivWell.
Macro Rate hikes, economic slowdown impacting volumes/funding. Resilient model (orders up in 75% of >5% index corrections).

Overall Outlook: Positive with cautious optimism. Tailwinds from diversification and tech outweigh headwinds; FY26 growth pegged at 20-30% in clients/revenues (per presentation). Target ₹2,000-2,500 (20-30x FY26 EPS est. ₹75-85) on 25-30% ROE trajectory. Monitor regulatory developments and Q3 volumes.

   

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